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This paper analyses the effects of loan supply, as well as aggregate demand, aggregate supply and monetary policy shocks between 1998 and 2014 in Macedonia using a structural Vector Auto Regression with sign restrictions and Bayesian estimation. The main results indicate that loan supply shocks...
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statistically significant response to foreign demand shock, while world prices shock has no significant effect. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623342
obtaining the forecasts of key domestic variables, conditional on a set of assumed global variables under different global shock … scenarios. The results in general suggest that under all shock scenarios, there is negative effect to domestic GDP, however in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623508
Surplus liquidity in the banking system changes the monetary transmission mechanism, reducing the effectiveness of the traditional instrument, the interest rate. In this paper we examine the real effects of several monetary-policy instruments in Macedonia, an economy characterized by surplus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623487
This paper describes the Macedonian Policy Analysis Model (MAKPAM), which is used at the National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for medium term macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis. The MAKPAM is a medium scale, New Keynesian gap model that incorporates the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623918
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