Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …

We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …

variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the … presence of country and year fixed effects and lagged unemployment. We also use firms' expectations of future employment, which …

model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E …We explore the extent to which composition, duration dependence, and labor force non-participation can account for the … sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional …

We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of … history. Step 2: relate the aggregate components to the overall unemployment rate using a factor model. Step 3: combine the …

One goal of extending the duration of unemployment insurance (UI) in recessions is to increase UI coverage in the face … of longer unemployment spells. Although it is a common concern that such extensions may themselves raise nonemployment … differential effects of UI in booms and recessions, this paper exploits the fact that, in Germany, potential UI benefit duration is …

--measured with unemployment rates--and environmental concern. Building on recent research that finds internet search terms to be … useful predictors of health epidemics and economic activity, we find that an increase in a state's unemployment rate … decreases Google searches for "global warming" and increases searches for "unemployment," and that the effect differs according …