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linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469142
prominent role in the conduct of monetary policy. A modified Taylor Rule would depend on a long-term measure of inflation having …-emptive anti-inflation policy in the middle of the expansions when housing is not so sensitive to interest rates, making it less … likely that anti-inflation policies would be needed near the ends of expansions when housing is very interest rate sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465221
the fall in trend inflation. I develop a method for estimating the sacrifice ratio in individual disinflation episodes …, and apply it to 65 episodes in moderate-inflation OECD countries. In this sample. the sacrifice ratio is decreasing in the … inflation are unclear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474654
By any standard, Bolivia's economic crisis in the 1980's has been extraordinary. Like its neighbors. Bolivia suffered from major external shocks, but the extent of economic collapse in the face of these shocks (including a hyperinflation during 1984-85) suggests that internal factors as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476427
After decades of trial, error, and occasional regress the pieces of a successful Latin American economic model can be seen scattered among the leading economies of the region. The most traditional macroeconomic maladies of the emerging world - such as chronic fiscal imbalances and monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470968
We document a striking empirical regularity: Latin American savings rates are as a rule substantially less procyclical than for OECD countries and in some cases are actually countercyclical. We build a non-representative agent intertemporal macroeconomic model that rationalizes this phenomenon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472301
Most analysts of the modern Latin American economy have held the pessimistic belief in historical persistence -- they believe that Latin America has always had very high levels of inequality, and that it's the Iberian colonists' fault. Thus, modern analysts see today a more unequal Latin America...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457751
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001619733
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001562752