insight into the problem by examining the determinants of transitions between non-employment (or unemployment) and employment …

Most data used to study the durations of unemployment spells come from the Current Population Survey, which is a point … unemployment spells obtained from panel data and apply CPS sampling and reporting techniques to replicate the type of data used by … distribution. We conclude that the best inferences that can be made about unemployment durations using CPS-like data are seriously …

considerably lower wages. At the same time, the data provide no evidence that early unemployment sets off a vicious cycle of … recurrent unemployment. The reduced employment effects die off very quickly. What appears to persist are effects of lost work …

This paper analyses job seekers' perceptions and their relationship to unemployment outcomes to study heterogeneity and … finding rates, accounting for almost all of the observed decline in job finding rates over the spell of unemployment. Moreover … unemployment. The biases can explain more than 10 percent of the incidence of long-term unemployment …

We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment … history. Step 2: relate the aggregate components to the overall unemployment rate using a factor model. Step 3: combine the … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of …