Governments fighting terrorists have many tactical options, yet these options often yield unintended and counterproductive consequences. This paper models a terrorist organization, a religious group from which the terrorists recruit suicide bombers, and the society in which the terrorists are...

We develop and test an economic theory of insurgency motivated by the informal literature and by recent military doctrine. We model a three-way contest between violent rebels, a government seeking to minimize violence by mixing service provision and coercion, and civilians deciding whether to...

Research on insurgency has been invigorated this past decade by better data, improved methods, and the urgency of understanding active engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. This empiricists' insurgency reinforces a classic literature on the essential role of civilians while challenging older...

We develop a dynamic theory of resource wars and study the conditions under which such wars can be prevented. The interaction between the scarcity of resources and the incentives for war in the presence of limited commitment is at the center of our theory. We show that a key parameter...

The main objectives of the evaluation are: (i) to be accountable and to provide the relevant external co-operation services of the EC and the wider public with an overall independent assessment of the EC’s past and current co-operation relations with Nepal; and (ii) to identify key lessons in...

This evaluation has been commissioned by the Evaluation Unit in DEVCO on behalf of the European Commission. It assesses European Commission support to CPPB, as defined by the 2001 Commission Communication on Conflict Prevention (COM(2001)21) and subsequent documents. It covers all support...

This document is the Final Report for the Concept Study for the forthcoming thematic evaluation of the European Commission (hereafter referred to as “the Commission”) support to Conflict Prevention and Peace Building (CPPB). This evaluation is part of the 2008 evaluation programme approved...

This is the Final Report of the Preliminary Study for the Thematic Evaluation of the European Commission support to Conflict Prevention and Peace Building, which is part of the 2008 evaluation programme approved by the External Relations and Development Commissioners. Its purpose is to present...