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We study the cross-sectional variation of carry-trade-generated currency excess returns in terms of their exposure to global macroeconomic fundamental risk. The risk factor is the cross-country high-minus-low conditional skewness of the unemployment rate gap. It gives a measure of global...
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organize: World War I, Bretton Woods, 1970s Great Inflation and Managed Floating. Each turning point was characterized by …
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Among the developing countries of the world, those emerging markets that have sought some degree of integration into … world finance are characterized by higher per capita incomes, higher long-run growth rates, and lower output and consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467840
We examine firm participation in global supply chains to help explain a puzzling decline in protectionist demands in the U.S. despite increased import competition and ongoing currency undervaluation. To explain firm responses to undervaluation, we rely on advances in the international trade...
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This paper uses international survey data to document two stylized facts. First, risk aversion is associated with anti-trade attitudes. Second, this effect is smaller in countries with greater levels of government expenditure. The paper thus provides evidence for the microeconomic underpinnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465617
Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464479