[aus dem Vorwort:] Der stellvertretende SPD-Vorsitzernde Helmut Schmidt zieht mit dieser Schrift eine ZWISCHENBILANZ, in der Halbzeit der Legislaturperiode, nach den Ergebnissen der Landtagswahlen, eine Zwischenbilanz für Partei, Parlament und Regierung. Er faßt einen Teil der politischen...

This paper provides a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities, correlations, and...

Using high-frequency data on Deutschemark and Yen returns against the dollar, we construct model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility and correlation, covering an entire decade. In addition to being model-free, our estimates are also approximately free of measurement error under...

We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...