Showing 1 - 10 of 707
The authors study employment outcomes during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in eight countries with different case levels and policy responses: the United States, Australia, France, Denmark, Italy, South Korea, Spain, and Sweden. While the share of people not at work increased in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094871
We show theoretically and empirically that flows into index funds raise the prices of large stocks in the index … disproportionately more than the prices of small stocks. Conversely, flows predict a high future return of the small-minus-large index … portfolio. This finding runs counter to the CAPM, and arises when noise traders distort prices, biasing index weights. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482472
Over the past couple of decades, and especially since the financial crisis in 2008-09, real interest rates have collapsed. For much of the past two years they have been negative, but they have been trending down for some while. But how far have real rates fallen? This note computes a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458777
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411449
We construct the World Uncertainty Index (WUI) for an unbalanced panel of 143 individual countries on a quarterly basis …. Globally, the Index spikes around major events like the Gulf War, the Euro debt crisis, the Brexit vote and the COVID pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938732
Although our pool of respondents differs greatly from the conservative foundations and business leaders who contribute respectively to the Fraser Institute and World Economic Forum reports, the GLS and the labor market components of the economic freedom and competitiveness measures give similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467079
The standard source for pre-WWII global freight rate trends is the Isserlis British tramp shipping index. We think it … transported. Previous scholars have deflated their nominal freight rate indices by a price index that includes tradables not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469171
Building on Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016), I construct a monthly index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU …) from January 1997. The GEPU Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 16 countries that account for two …-thirds of global output. Each national EPU index reflects the relative frequency of own-country newspaper articles that contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455940
Over the past two decades, respondents to the Shiller Investor Confidence Surveys assess the probability of a catastrophic stock market crash to be much higher that the historical frequency of such events. We decompose these crash probabilities into fundamental and subjective components and use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576618
We assemble a new global database on motor vehicle travel speed in over 1,200 large cities in 152 countries. We then estimate comparable city-level indices of travel speed and congestion. Most of the variation in urban travel speed is across countries, not within. National income per capita...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337874