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probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … of business cycle dynamics, especially sharp downturns in investment and output such as 2008-IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463250
firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … strips. Our model delivers testable predictions about the behavior of firm-level real variables - investment and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460684
This paper examines an economy in which aggregate shocks are not dispersed equally throughout the population. Instead, while these shocks affect all individuals ex ante, they are concentrated among a few ex post.The equity premium in general depends on the concentration of these aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477289
Economies respond differently to aggregate shocks that reduce output. While some countries rapidly recover their pre-crisis trend, others stagnate. Recent studies provide empirical support for a link between aggregate growth and plant dynamics through its effect on productivity: the entry and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468109
An analysis of the performance of GDP, employment and other labor market variables following the troughs in postwar U.S. business cycles points to much slower recoveries in the three most recent episodes, but does not reveal any significant change over time in the relation between GDP and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460574
product market, concerning in particular entry barriers, are negatively related to investment. The implications of our … analysis are clear: regulatory reforms, especially those that liberalize entry, are very likely to spur investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469140
One of the most important developments in the growth literature of the last decade is the enhanced appreciation of the role that the misallocation of resources plays in helping us understand income differences across countries. Misallocation at the micro level typically reduces total factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461916
We use more than one century of Argentine and Mexican data to estimate the structural parameters of a small-open-economy real-business-cycle model driven by nonstationary productivity shocks. We find that the RBC model does a poor job at explaining business cycles in emerging countries. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466032
investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed … both numerically for a model with a rich mix of adjustment costs, time-varying uncertainty, and aggregation over investment … investment response to demand shocks. This implies the responsiveness of firms to any given policy stimulus may be much lower in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466282
investment; the impact of uncertainty on investment occurs primarily through changes in credit spreads; and innovations in credit … spreads have a strong effect on investment, irrespective of the level of uncertainty. These findings raise a question … financial shocks. By influencing the effective supply of credit, both types of shocks exert a powerful effect on investment and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458626