Showing 1 - 10 of 1,042
This paper investigates the nonlinear dynamic response to shocks, relying on a threshold quantile autoregression (TQAR) model as a flexible representation of stochastic dynamics. The TQAR model can identify zones of stability/instability and characterize resilience and traps. Resilience means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456056
This paper documents large differences across vintages in the properties of the widely-used quarterly utilization-adjusted TFP series produced by Fernald (2014), who provides updated data each quarter on his website. The most recent vintage of the adjusted TFP series has correlations with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456521
the direct impact of a shock and the magnitudes of the downstream and the upstream indirect effects. We then investigate … through the input-output network, with a pattern broadly consistent with theory. Quantitatively, the network-based propagation …, capturing the fact that the local propagation of a shock to an industry will fall more heavily on other industries that tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457324
impact of a shock can be boiled down into two components: its "pure" technology effect; and its effect on allocative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453706
The real business cycle literature has largely ignored the empirical question of what role technology shocks actually play in business cycles. The observed procyclicality of total factor productivity (TFP) does not prove that technology shocks are important to business cycles, since demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472178
decline in output--explained by a drop in aggregate total factor productivity and investment--and a protracted increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458667
Feedback from stock prices to cash flows occurs because information revealed by firms' stock prices influences the actions of competitors. We explore the implications of feedback within a noisy rational expectations setting with incumbent publicly traded firms and privately held new entrants. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459278
firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … strips. Our model delivers testable predictions about the behavior of firm-level real variables - investment and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460684
We study a model of lumpy investment wherein establishments face persistent shocks to common and plant …-specific productivity, and nonconvex adjustment costs lead them to pursue generalized (S,s) investment rules. We allow persistent … the first model consistent with available evidence on establishment-level investment rates. Examining the implications of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465811
embodied technology, investment irreversibility, and variable capacity utilization. Low short-run capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472001