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Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739091
The largest commercial bank stocks, ranked by total size of the balance sheet, have significantly lower risk …-adjusted returns than small- and medium-sized bank stocks, even though large banks are significantly more levered. We uncover a size … factor in the component of bank returns that is orthogonal to the standard risk factors, including small-minus-big, which has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462104
I adapt the methods of Gurkaynak, Sack, and Swanson (2005) to estimate two dimensions of monetary policy during the 2009-2015 zero lower bound period in the U.S. I show that, after a suitable rotation, these two dimensions can be interpreted as "forward guidance" and "large-scale asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456855
Studies find price increases for additions to the S&P 500 index but no decreases for deletions. Additions come with good earnings news, suggesting these studies are not just measuring an indexing effect. We develop a regression discontinuity design using Russell Indices for cleaner...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459371
Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480685
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators - stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481939
We examine the role of price discovery in the U.S. Treasury market through the empirical relationship between orderflow, liquidity, and the yield curve. We find that orderflow imbalances (excess buying or selling pressure) can account for as much as 26 percent of the day-to-day variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469173