Showing 1 - 10 of 31
and its possible ascension to reserve currency status. In an unstable and financially integrated world, governments …' precautionary demand for reserve assets is likely to increase. But the world then risks a third crisis of the global reserve system …, another re-run of the Triffin paradox, with an ever-growing emerging-world insurance demand loaded onto a small group of ever …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459889
This paper introduces new nonparametric statistical methods to evaluate zero-cost investment strategies. We focus on directional trading strategies, risk-adjusted returns, and the investor's decisions under uncertainty as the core of our analysis. By relying on classification tools with a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461508
The long-run economic performance of Argentina since World War One has been relatively disappointing until recently … World War One" and then the Great Depression proved a setback for the fledgling financial system deterioration set in after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472576
Why did per capita income divergence occur so dramatically during the 19th Century, rather than at the outset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479692
Are financial crises a negative shock to demand or a negative shock to supply? This is a fundamental question for both macroeconomics researchers and those involved in real-time policymaking, and in both cases the question has become much more urgent in the aftermath of the recent financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479740
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed countries over 140 years (1870-2008). We exploit our long-run dataset in a number of different ways. First, we apply new statistical tools to describe the temporal and spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090
The crisis of the advanced economies in 2008-09 has focused new attention on money and credit fluctuations, financial crises, and policy responses. We study the behavior of money, credit, and macroeconomic indicators over the long run based on a new historical dataset for 14 countries over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463137
exchange rate movements of both emerging and advanced countries in 2008. Countries with large war chests did not depreciate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463821
Did adoption of the gold standard exacerbate or diminish macroeconomic volatility? Supporters thought so, critics … absorption in a world of real shocks and nominal stickiness. A simple model shows how a lack of flexibility can be discerned in … did absorb shocks, but the interwar gold standard did not, and this historical pattern suggests that the interwar gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466876
of World War I and World War II …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467113