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In this paper we calculate robustly optimal monetary policy rules for several variants of a simple optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism with sticky prices and/or wages. We discuss representations of optimal policy both in terms of interest-rate feedback rules that generalize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469283
This paper proposes a general method for deriving an optimal monetary policy rule in the case of a dynamic linear rational-expectations model and a quadratic objective function for policy. A commitment to a rule of the type proposed results in a determinate equilibrium in which the responses to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469284
The current monetary policy framework of the Fed intends to be more 'inclusive' by running the economy hot for longer during expansions. The logic of this strategy rests on Okun's (1973) hypothesis that sustaining a 'high-pressure economy' persistently improves labor market outcomes of low-wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015326481
We finally have a complete theory of inflation under interest rate targets, that mirrors the long-run neutrality and … frictionless limit of monetary theory: Inflation can be stable and determinate under interest rate targets, including a k percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388824
We study the optimal monetary policy problem in a New Keynesian economy with a zero lower bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate, when the steady state natural rate (r*) becomes permanently negative. We show that the optimal policy aims to approach gradually a new steady state with positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322895
The neo-Fisher effect and the central bank information (CBI) effect produce similar outcomes: under both, a monetary tightening triggers an increase in inflation and an expansion in real activity. Separate estimates of these effects run the risk of confounding one with the other. To disentangle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145087
We find that an unanticipated tightening of US monetary policy tends to raise US import prices. This empirical "spill-back" pattern differs from the predictions of typical open-economy macro models. We also document a new empirical "spillover" effect: import prices of other countries also rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409843
Erceg et al. (2000) show that when both wages and prices are sticky, maximization of expected utility is equivalent to minimizing a loss function with three terms, involving measures of the variability of wage inflation, price inflation and the output gap respectively. Here we generalize their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467850
We explore the importance of the nature of nominal price and wage adjustment for the design of effective monetary policy strategies, especially at the zero lower bound. Our analysis suggests that sticky-price and sticky-information models fit standard macroeconomic time series comparably well....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458054
I revisit the General Theory's discussion of the role of wages in employment determination through the lens of the New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460009