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The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility

Heckman, James J. - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740

Macroeconomic Adjustment and the History of Crises in Open Economies

Aizenman, Joshua - 2012

In contrast, we find that past crisis experience has a significant impact on savings. When facing considerable political risk, the past does seem to matter - countries with more people who were exposed, over their lifetime, to larger disasters will tend to save more. This association, however,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460133

The Real Exchange Rate, Mercantilism and the Learning by Doing Externality

Aizenman, Joshua - 2008

This paper examines the degree to which the learning by doing externality [LBD] calls for an undervalued exchange rate, a policy suggested by recent empirical studies which concluded that mildly undervalued real exchange rate may enhance growth. We obtain mixed results. For an economy where LBD...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464794

Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

World Real Interest Rates

Barro, Robert J. - 1990

We think of the expected real interest rate for ten OECD countries (our counterpart of the world economy) as determined … estimated the reduced form for CDP-weighted world averages of the expected short-term real interest rate and the investment … ratio over the period 1959-88. The estimates reveal significant effects in the predicted direction for world stock returns …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475718

Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2020

We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987

Global Shocks, Institutional Development, and Trade Restrictions : What Can We Learn from Crises and Recoveries Between 1990 and 2022?

Aizenman, Joshua; Itō, Hiro; Park, Donghyun; Saadaoui, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025

The Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic were two major shocks to the world economy in the 21st century …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409788

How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election : New High-Frequency Evidence

Aizenman, Joshua; Saadaoui, Jamel - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

This paper is a case study of the exchange rate adjustments during the first week following the swapping US election results. We compute three measures of exchange rate depreciation: the maximum depreciation during the 1st trading day after November 6 UTC 0:00 to capture the reaction on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145144

Allander Series : Skill Policies for Scotland

Heckman, James J. - 2005

This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655

Military Expenditure, Threats, and Growth

Aizenman, Joshua - 2003

This paper clarifies one of the puzzling results of the economic growth literature: the impact of military expenditure is frequently found to be non-significant or negative, yet most countries spend a large fraction of their GDP on defense and the military. We start by empirical evaluation of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469080