Showing 1 - 10 of 106
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471420
166 countries have some kind of public old age pension. What economic forces create and sustain old age Social Security as a public program? We document some of the internationally and historically common features of Social Security programs including explicit and implicit taxes on labor supply,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471676
The motives of a small country for borrowing to purchase capital equipment on international markets are studied. The country produces tradable capital and a nontradable consumption good and borrows or lends capital to achieve higher levels of welfare. A shift in time-preference favoring future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477211
This paper characterizes the integration patterns of international currency unions (such as the CFA Franc zone and the East Caribbean Currency Area). We empirically explore different features of currency unions, and compare them both to countries with sovereign monies, and to regions within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470865
Measuring the integration of world capital markets is notoriously difficult. For example, regulatory changes which … equity market becomes financially integrated with world capital markets. We find endogenous break dates that are very … markets are on average larger and more liquid than before; returns are more volatile and more highly correlated with the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472089
We find evidence that the law of one price (LOOP) holds more nearly for country pairs that are within geographic regions than for country pairs that are not. These findings are established using disaggregated consumer price data from 23 countries (including data from eight North American...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473472
Existing general equilibrium models based on traditional expected utility preferences have been unable to explain the excess return predictability observed in equity markets, bond markets, and foreign exchange markets. In this paper, we abandon the expected-utility hypothesis in favor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474310
The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685
This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740