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Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

Short-Term Capital Flows

Rodrik, Dani - 1999

We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471420

Social Security in Theory and Practice (I) : Facts and Political Theories

Mulligan, Casey B. - 1999

166 countries have some kind of public old age pension. What economic forces create and sustain old age Social Security as a public program? We document some of the internationally and historically common features of Social Security programs including explicit and implicit taxes on labor supply,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471676

Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets

Bekaert, Geert - 1998

Measuring the integration of world capital markets is notoriously difficult. For example, regulatory changes which … equity market becomes financially integrated with world capital markets. We find endogenous break dates that are very … markets are on average larger and more liquid than before; returns are more volatile and more highly correlated with the world …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472089

The Implications of First-Order Risk Aversion for Asset Market Risk Premiums

Bekaert, Geert - 1994

Existing general equilibrium models based on traditional expected utility preferences have been unable to explain the excess return predictability observed in equity markets, bond markets, and foreign exchange markets. In this paper, we abandon the expected-utility hypothesis in favor of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474310

Consumption Risk and International Asset Returns : Some Empirical Evidence

Cumby, Robert E. - 1987

The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685

The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility

Heckman, James J. - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740

Policies to Foster Human Capital

Heckman, James J. - 1999

This paper considers the sources of skill formation in a modern economy and emphasizes the importance of both cognitive and noncognitive skills in producing economic and social success and the importance of both formal academic institutions and families and firms as sources of learning. Skill...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471495

Trade Policy and Economic Growth : A Skeptic's Guide to Cross-National Evidence

Rodriguez, Francisco - 1999

Do countries with lower policy-induced barriers to international trade grow faster, once other relevant country characteristics are controlled for? There exists a large empirical literature providing an affirmative answer to this question. We argue that methodological problems with the empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471715

Where Did All The Growth Go? External Shocks, Social Conflict, and Growth Collapses

Rodrik, Dani - 1998

This paper argues that domestic social conflicts are a key to understanding why growth rates lack persistence and why so many countries have experienced a growth collapse after the mid-1970s. It emphasizes conflicts interact with external shocks on the one hand, and the domestic institutions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472466

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