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Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

Consumption Risk and International Asset Returns : Some Empirical Evidence

Cumby, Robert E. - 1987

The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685

The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility

Heckman, James J. - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740

Policies to Foster Human Capital

Heckman, James J. - 1999

This paper considers the sources of skill formation in a modern economy and emphasizes the importance of both cognitive and noncognitive skills in producing economic and social success and the importance of both formal academic institutions and families and firms as sources of learning. Skill...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471495

Currency Baskets and Real Effective Exchange Rates

Branson, William H. - 1981

With the major currencies continuously moving (if not floating freely) against each other, a country that does not choose to float must decide what to peg to. If it pegs to the SDR it floats against all currencies. Thus in the system begun in the early 1970s the very concept of a fixed exchange...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478455

Shining a Light on Purchasing Power Parities

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2018

study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the world between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn World Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295

Social Security and Democracy

Mulligan, Casey B. - 2002

Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756

The World Distribution of Income (estimated from Individual Country Distributions)

Sala-i-Martin, Xavier - 2002

We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 125 countries between … hosted 11% of the world's poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimate nine indexes of income inequality implied … by our world distribution of income. All of them show substantial reductions in global income inequality during the 1980s …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469781

Newer Need Not be Better : Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2016

Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459

Evaluating the Specification Errors of Asset Pricing Models

Hodrick, Robert J. - 2000

This paper examines the specification errors of several asset pricing models using the methodology of Hansen and Jagannathan (1997) and a common data set. The models are the CAPM, the Consumption CAPM, the Jagannathan and Wang (1996) conditional CAPM, the Campbell (1996) dynamic asset pricing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471106