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Using a Satisficing Model of Experimenter Decision-Making to Guide Finite-Sample Inference for Compromised Experiments

Karapakula, Ganesh - 2020

This paper presents a simple decision-theoretic economic approach for analyzing social experiments with compromised random assignment protocols that are only partially documented. We model administratively constrained experimenters who satisfice in seeking covariate balance. We develop...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481286

The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility

Heckman, James J. - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740

Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

The Globalization of Information and Capital Mobility

Branson, William H. - 1990

This paper provides a framework for analyzing the effects of symmetric and asymmetric changes in information about risk on equilibrium real interest rate spreads across countries. Following the literature on parameter uncertainty, improvements in information are modeled as reductions in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475531

World Real Interest Rates

Barro, Robert J. - 1990

We think of the expected real interest rate for ten OECD countries (our counterpart of the world economy) as determined … estimated the reduced form for CDP-weighted world averages of the expected short-term real interest rate and the investment … ratio over the period 1959-88. The estimates reveal significant effects in the predicted direction for world stock returns …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475718

Allander Series : Skill Policies for Scotland

Heckman, James J. - 2005

This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655

Trade Costs

Anderson, James E. - 2004

goods within countries, much of which makes economic sense. Theory looms large in our survey, providing interpretation and … and interpret gravity theory properly and to handle aggregation appropriately …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468213

Do Democracies Have Different Public Policies than Nondemocracies?

Mulligan, Casey B. - 2003

-90. Based on three tenets of voting theory -- that voting mutes policy preference intensity, political power is equally …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468656

Newer Need Not be Better : Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2016

Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459

Lights, Camera,... Income! : Estimating Poverty Using National Accounts, Survey Means, and Lights

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2014

developing world and its regions. We get poverty estimates that are substantially lower and fall substantially faster than those …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458831