Showing 1 - 10 of 23
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655
Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459
To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient … markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that … for stock returns. A steady-state approach suggests that the world geometric average equity premium was almost 4% at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465226
Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756
We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 125 countries between … hosted 11% of the world's poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimate nine indexes of income inequality implied … by our world distribution of income. All of them show substantial reductions in global income inequality during the 1980s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469781
study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the world between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn World Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295
This paper develops and applies a method for decomposing cross section variability of earnings into components that are forecastable at the time students decide to go to college (heterogeneity) and components that are unforecastable. About 60% of variability in returns to schooling is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467663
This paper uses newly available Chinese micro data to estimate the return to college education for late 20th century China when allowing for heterogeneous returns among individuals selecting into schooling based on these differences. We use recently developed semiparametric methods to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468820
option values, the internal rate of return - a cornerstone of classical human capital theory - is not a useful guide to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468966