Showing 1 - 10 of 111
This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740
This paper characterizes the integration patterns of international currency unions (such as the CFA Franc zone and the East Caribbean Currency Area). We empirically explore different features of currency unions, and compare them both to countries with sovereign monies, and to regions within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470865
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
We think of the expected real interest rate for ten OECD countries (our counterpart of the world economy) as determined … estimated the reduced form for CDP-weighted world averages of the expected short-term real interest rate and the investment … ratio over the period 1959-88. The estimates reveal significant effects in the predicted direction for world stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475718
Exchange-rate models fit very well for the U.S. dollar in the 21st century. A "standard" model that includes real interest rates and a measure of expected inflation for the U.S. and the foreign country, the U.S. comprehensive trade balance, and measures of global risk and liquidity demand is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056131
This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655
Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459
Standard models of exchange rates, based on macroeconomic variables such as prices, interest rates, output, etc., are thought by many researchers to have failed empirically. We present evidence to the contrary. First, we emphasize the point that "beating a random walk" in forecasting is too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465332
Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756
We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 125 countries between … hosted 11% of the world's poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimate nine indexes of income inequality implied … by our world distribution of income. All of them show substantial reductions in global income inequality during the 1980s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469781