Showing 1 - 10 of 170
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
This essay considers some prescriptions that are currently popular regarding exchange rate regimes: a general movement toward floating, a general movement toward fixing, or a general movement toward either extreme and away from the middle. The whole spectrum from fixed to floating is covered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471446
166 countries have some kind of public old age pension. What economic forces create and sustain old age Social Security as a public program? We document some of the internationally and historically common features of Social Security programs including explicit and implicit taxes on labor supply,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471676
This paper, written for the NBER Conference on the Changing Role of the United States in the World Economy, covers the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476859
This paper develops a dynamic framework in which macroeconomic liberalization and stabilization measures of the type recently seen in Latin America can be studied. The model is sufficiently general to cover both polar cases of a closed capital account and free private capital mobility, so the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477560
For several decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely--even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480075
disorder in the world economy. The interwar disorder often is linked to policies inconsistent with the constraint of the open … yield. This historical analytic narrative is compelling with significant ramifications for today's world, if true but … empirically controversial. We apply theory and empirics to the interwar data and find strong support for the logic of the trilemma …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468300
evidence that trade has the detrimental effect on the environment that the race-to-the-bottom theory would lead one to expect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469508
Using a large sample of developing and industrialized economies during 1970-1999, this paper explores whether the choice of exchange rate regime affects the sensitivity of local interest rates to international interest rates. In most cases, we cannot reject full transmission of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469887
Once one recognizes that governments borrow international reserves and exercise other policy options to defend fixed exchange rates during currency crises, the question arises: What factors determine a government's decision to abandon a currency peg or hang on? In a setting of purposeful action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474296