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Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

Social Security in Theory and Practice (I) : Facts and Political Theories

Mulligan, Casey B. - 1999

166 countries have some kind of public old age pension. What economic forces create and sustain old age Social Security as a public program? We document some of the internationally and historically common features of Social Security programs including explicit and implicit taxes on labor supply,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471676

Consumption Risk and International Asset Returns : Some Empirical Evidence

Cumby, Robert E. - 1987

The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685

The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility

Heckman, James J. - 2014

This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740

Will the Paris Accord Accelerate Climate Change?

Kotlikoff, Laurence J. - 2016

Finally we question the standard use of infinitely-lived, single-agent models, which assume, unrealistically, intergenerational altruism in determining optimal abatement policy. Their prescriptions can differ, potentially dramatically, from those needed to correct the negative climate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455949

Empirical Tests of Alternative Models of International Growth

Kotlikoff, Laurence J. - 1984

Recent changes in patterns of international trade and growth have rekindled interest in the relationships among trade, growth, and the international distribution of income. Three alternative models can serve as a theoretical foundation for an empirical analysis of these relationships. The first...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477675

Shining a Light on Purchasing Power Parities

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2018

study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the world between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn World Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295

Social Security and Democracy

Mulligan, Casey B. - 2002

Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756

The World Distribution of Income (estimated from Individual Country Distributions)

Sala-i-Martin, Xavier - 2002

We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 125 countries between … hosted 11% of the world's poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimate nine indexes of income inequality implied … by our world distribution of income. All of them show substantial reductions in global income inequality during the 1980s …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469781

Newer Need Not be Better : Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2016

Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459

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