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The Time for Austerity : Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy

Jordà, Òscar - 2013

After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459247

Stuck on Gold : Real Exchange Rate Volatility and the Rise and Fall of the Gold Standard

Chernyshoff, Natalia - 2005

thought not, and theory offers ambiguous messages. A hard exchange-rate regime such as the gold standard might limit monetary … absorption in a world of real shocks and nominal stickiness. A simple model shows how a lack of flexibility can be discerned in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466876

Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

Short-Term Capital Flows

Rodrik, Dani - 1999

We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471420

Nonlinear Aspects of Goods-Market Arbitrage and Adjustment : Heckscher's Commodity Points Revisited

Obstfeld, Maurice - 1997

We propose that analysis of purchasing power parity (PPP) and the law of one price (LOOP) should explicitly take into account the possibility of commodity points' thresholds delineating a region of no central tendency among relative prices, possibly due to lack of perfect arbitrage in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472761

Allander Series : Skill Policies for Scotland

Heckman, James J. - 2005

This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655

Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle

Bergin, Paul - 2004

theory and history to be consistent for a wide range of underlying productivity shocks …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468124

Growth Accelerations

Hausmann, Ricardo - 2004

Unlike most cross-country growth analyses, we focus on turning points in growth performance. We look for instances of rapid acceleration in economic growth that are sustained for at least eight years and identify more than 80 such episodes since the 1950s. Growth accelerations tend to be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468127

The Trilemma in History : Tradeoffs among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2004

The exchange-rate regime is often seen as constrained by the monetary policy trilemma, which imposes a stark tradeoff among exchange stability, monetary independence, and capital market openness. Yet the trilemma has not gone without challenge. Some (e.g., Calvo and Reinhart 2001, 2002) argue...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468297

Newer Need Not be Better : Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2016

Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459