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The Economics of Human Development and Social Mobility
Heckman, James J. - 2014
This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740
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Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach
Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
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Short-Term Capital Flows
Rodrik, Dani - 1999
We provide a conceptual and empirical framework for evaluating the effects of short-term capital flows. A simple model of the joint determination of the maturity and cost of external borrowing highlights the role played by self-fulfilling crises. The model also specifies the circumstances under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471420
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World Real Interest Rates
Barro, Robert J. - 1990
We think of the expected real interest rate for ten OECD countries (our counterpart of the world economy) as determined … estimated the reduced form for CDP-weighted world averages of the expected short-term real interest rate and the investment … ratio over the period 1959-88. The estimates reveal significant effects in the predicted direction for world stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475718
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Allander Series : Skill Policies for Scotland
Heckman, James J. - 2005
This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655
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Growth Accelerations
Hausmann, Ricardo - 2004
Unlike most cross-country growth analyses, we focus on turning points in growth performance. We look for instances of rapid acceleration in economic growth that are sustained for at least eight years and identify more than 80 such episodes since the 1950s. Growth accelerations tend to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468127
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Newer Need Not be Better : Evaluating the Penn World Tables and the World Development Indicators Using Nighttime Lights
Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2016
Penn World Tables and of the World Development Indicators better estimate true income per capita. We find that revisions of …-price series in both PWT 8.0 and PWT 8.1, the two most recent vintages of the PWT. We additionally find that the World Development … Indicators are as good, and often better, measures of unobserved true income as are any recent vintages of the Penn World Tables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456459
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Premature Deindustrialization
Rodrik, Dani - 2015
I document a significant deindustrialization trend in recent decades, that goes considerably beyond the advanced, post-industrial economies. The hump-shaped relationship between industrialization (measured by employment or output shares) and incomes has shifted downwards and moved closer to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457731
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Institutions Rule : The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development
Rodrik, Dani - 2002
world, using recently developed instruments for institutions and trade. Our results indicate that the quality of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469401
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Social Security and Democracy
Mulligan, Casey B. - 2002
Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756