Showing 1 - 10 of 93
This paper presents a simple decision-theoretic economic approach for analyzing social experiments with compromised random assignment protocols that are only partially documented. We model administratively constrained experimenters who satisfice in seeking covariate balance. We develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481286
exchange rate regimes in trade determination since a significant amount of world trade is conducted between countries with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467995
This paper distills and extends recent research on the economics of human development and social mobility. It summarizes the evidence from diverse literatures on the importance of early life conditions in shaping multiple life skills and the evidence on critical and sensitive investment periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458740
The impermanence of fixed exchange rates has become a stylized fact in international finance. The combination of a view that pegs do not really peg with the "fear of floating" view that floats do not really float generates the conclusion that exchange rate regimes are, in practice, unimportant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465931
This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
This paper provides a framework for evaluating how market participants' beliefs about foreign exchange target zones change as they learn about central bank intervention policy. In order to examine this behavior, we first generalize the standard target zone model to allow for intra-marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475337
We think of the expected real interest rate for ten OECD countries (our counterpart of the world economy) as determined … estimated the reduced form for CDP-weighted world averages of the expected short-term real interest rate and the investment … ratio over the period 1959-88. The estimates reveal significant effects in the predicted direction for world stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475718
This paper shows that the effect of capital account liberalization on growth depends upon the environment in which that policy occurs. A theoretical model demonstrates the possibility of an inverted-U shaped relationship between the responsiveness of growth to capital account liberalization and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467573
This paper argues that skill formation is a life-cycle process and develops the implications of this insight for Scottish social policy. Families are major producers of skills, and a successful policy needs to promote effective families and to supplement failing ones. We present evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467655
-90. Based on three tenets of voting theory -- that voting mutes policy preference intensity, political power is equally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468656