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Determinants of Long-Term Growth : A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Doppelhofer, Gernot - 2000

This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000

Social Security in Theory and Practice (I) : Facts and Political Theories

Mulligan, Casey B. - 1999

166 countries have some kind of public old age pension. What economic forces create and sustain old age Social Security as a public program? We document some of the internationally and historically common features of Social Security programs including explicit and implicit taxes on labor supply,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471676

Consumption Risk and International Asset Returns : Some Empirical Evidence

Cumby, Robert E. - 1987

The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685

Currency Baskets and Real Effective Exchange Rates

Branson, William H. - 1981

With the major currencies continuously moving (if not floating freely) against each other, a country that does not choose to float must decide what to peg to. If it pegs to the SDR it floats against all currencies. Thus in the system begun in the early 1970s the very concept of a fixed exchange...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478455

Shining a Light on Purchasing Power Parities

Pinkovskiy, Maxim - 2018

study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the world between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn World Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295

China's Current Account and Exchange Rate

Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2009

predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample, when using the 2006 vintage of the World Development Indicators. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463974

Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2005

The hypothesis that interest rate differentials are unbiased predictors of future exchange rate movements has been almost universally rejected in empirical studies. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using interest rates on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467610

Trade Costs

Anderson, James E. - 2004

goods within countries, much of which makes economic sense. Theory looms large in our survey, providing interpretation and … and interpret gravity theory properly and to handle aggregation appropriately …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468213

A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

Forbes, Kristin J. - 2003

This paper tests if real and financial linkages between countries can explain why movements in the world's largest … between the world's 5 largest economies and about 40 other markets to decompose the cross-country factor loadings into: direct … to be the most important determinant of how movements in the world's largest markets affect financial markets around the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469145

Social Security and Democracy

Mulligan, Casey B. - 2002

Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756