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Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2005

The hypothesis that interest rate differentials are unbiased predictors of future exchange rate movements has been almost universally rejected in empirical studies. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using interest rates on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467610

A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

Forbes, Kristin J. - 2003

This paper tests if real and financial linkages between countries can explain why movements in the world's largest … between the world's 5 largest economies and about 40 other markets to decompose the cross-country factor loadings into: direct … to be the most important determinant of how movements in the world's largest markets affect financial markets around the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469145

The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate : A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies

Lee, Jaewoo - 1998

A sticky-price model is used to motivate a structural VAR analysis of the current account and the real exchange rate for seven major industrialized countries (the US, Canada, the UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy). The analysis is distinguished from previous work in that it adopts minimal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472307

Life Cycle Schooling and Dynamic Selection Bias : Models and Evidence for Five Cohorts

Cameron, Stephen V. - 1998

This paper examines an empirical regularity found in many societies: that family influences on the probability of transiting from one grade level to the next diminish at higher levels of education. We examine the statistical model used to establish the empirical regularity and the intuitive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472433

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States : Does One Size Fit All?

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1997

We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472722

Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models

Cheung, Yin-Wong - 1997

Exchange rate forecasts are generated using some popular monetary models of exchange rates in conjunction with several estimation techniques. We propose an alternative set of criteria for evaluating forecast rationality which entails the following requirements: the forecast and the actual series...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472881

Forecasting Aggregate Period Specific Birth Rates : The Time Series Properties of a Microdynamic Neoclassical Model of Fertility

Heckman, James J. - 1989

This article demonstrates the value of microdata for understanding the effect of wages on life cycle fertility dynamics. Conventional estimates of neoclassical economic fertility models obtained from linear aggregate time series regressions are widely criticized for being nonrobust when adjusted...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475910

New Methods for Estimating Labor Supply Functions : A Survey

Heckman, James J. - 1982

This paper surveys new methods for estimatifg labor supply functions. A unified framework of analysis is presented. All recent models of labor supply are special cases of a general index function model developed for the analysis o dummy endogenous variables

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478253

The New Fama Puzzle

Bussiere, Matthieu - 2018

correlated, contrary to what theory suggests - for eight advanced country exchange rates against the US dollar, over the period …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453372

Testing the Correlated Random Coefficient Model

Heckman, James J. - 2009

The recent literature on instrumental variables (IV) features models in which agents sort into treatment status on the basis of gains from treatment as well as on baseline-pretreatment levels. Components of the gains known to the agents and acted on by them may not be known by the observing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463186