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This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471000
The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685
additional factors, a commodity currency factor and a "world" factor based on trading volumes, fits currency basket correlations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479405
theory and history to be consistent for a wide range of underlying productivity shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468124
We examine the effects of both equity market liberalization and capital account openness on real consumption growth variability. We show that financial liberalization is mostly associated with lower consumption growth volatility. Our results are robust, surviving controls for business-cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468133
This paper clarifies one of the puzzling results of the economic growth literature: the impact of military expenditure is frequently found to be non-significant or negative, yet most countries spend a large fraction of their GDP on defense and the military. We start by empirical evaluation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469080
to providing new insights on contagion during crisis periods, we document patterns through time in world and regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469193
Many political economic theories use and emphasize the process of voting in their explanation of the growth of Social Security, government spending, and other public policies. But is there an empirical connection between democracy and Social Security program size or design? Using some new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469756
We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 125 countries between … hosted 11% of the world's poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimate nine indexes of income inequality implied … by our world distribution of income. All of them show substantial reductions in global income inequality during the 1980s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469781
Does leaving a currency union reduce international trade? We answer this question using a large annual panel data set covering 217 countries from 1948 through 1997. During this sample a large number of countries left currency unions; they experienced economically and statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470324