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In this paper we use the functional vector autoregression (VAR) framework of Chang, Chen, and Schorfheide (2024) to study the effects of monetary policy shocks (conventional and informational) on the cross-sectional distribution of U.S. earnings (from the Current Population Survey), consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486257
This paper combines new data and a narrative approach to identify shocks to political pressure on the Federal Reserve. From archival records, I build a data set of personal interactions between U.S. Presidents and Fed officials between 1933 and 2016. Since personal interactions do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544739
. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the oil market by setting up a general empirical framework that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801