unemployment-inflation tradeoff since 1995 …

Sticky-price models with rational expectations fail to capture the inertia in U.S. inflation. Models with backward …-looking expectations capture current inflation behavior, but are unlikely to fit other monetary regimes. This paper seeks to overcome these … problems with a near-rational model of expectations. In the model, agents make univariate forecasts of inflation: they use …

This paper presents a model of a high-inflation economy. The model includes the government budget constraint and money … demand equation of Cagan's 1956 model; an accelerationist Phillips curve that captures inflation inertia; and an aggregate …-spending equation that accounts for the effects of the inflation tax. The paper derives the dynamic effects of fiscal policy, incomes …

This paper studies the welfare effects of the relative price variability arising from inflation. When agents interact … informational role: a potential customer uses current prices as signals of future prices. Inflation reduces the informativeness of … at moderate inflation rates …

This paper presents a model of monetary policy in which a rise in inflation raises uncertainty about future inflation …. When inflation is low, there is a consensus that the monetary authority will try to keep it low. When inflation is high …