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Traditional mean-variance efficient portfolios do not capture the potential wealth creation opportunities provided by predictability of asset returns. We propose a simple method for constructing optimally managed portfolios that exploits the possibility that asset returns are predictable. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467869
account for the risk premia and asset price fluctuations. In addition, the model can empirically account for the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465457
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455671
In this paper we show that temperature is an aggregate risk factor that adversely affects economic growth. Our argument … temperature (i.e., temperature betas) contains sharp information about the cross-country risk premium; countries closer to the … Equator carry a positive temperature risk premium which decreases as one moves farther away from the Equator. The differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461083
future consumption given investors' information, and consequently influence equilibrium asset prices and risk premia. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463832
formation, which generates time-varying risk-aversion and consequently time-variation in risk-premia, is the key channel. These … array of diagnostics suggests that the long run risk model is preferred …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465547
In this paper we show that measures of economic uncertainty (conditional volatility of consumption) predict and are predicted by valuation ratios at long horizons. Further we document that asset valuations drop as economic uncertainty rises that is, financial markets dislike economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469320
warming, specifically, long-run temperature shifts. We find that global warming carries a positive risk premium that increases … projected temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456150
We show that bond risk-premia rise with uncertainty about expected inflation and fall with uncertainty about expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460302
news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an … negative when volatility risk is ignored. Our model setup implies a dynamics capital asset pricing model (DCAPM) which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460556