Showing 1 - 8 of 8
This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics … that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to produce efficient estimates of inflation. Trimmed means produce … superior estimates" of core inflation,' which we define as a long-run centered moving average of CPI and PPI" inflation. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472631
As inflation approaches zero, it becomes increasingly important to examine the price indices on which monetary policy … index of the cost-of-living, is that there are likely to be biases in the index as a measure of inflation. In this paper we … inherent in the CPI as a measure of inflation--weighting bias. Utilizing a dynamic factor model we are able to compute the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474440
monetary policymaking. First, we discuss why trimmed means provide the best measure of core inflation. Second, we outline how … rigidities impede policymakers' ability to control inflation. And third, we describe how alternative shock/rigidity combinations … create inflation's grease (whereby it improves economic efficiency by speeding adjustment) and sand effects (whereby it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471294
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470015
on correlations between inflation and its moments goesback over thirty years, and was first used to reject the … independence of relative price changes and inflation that is assumed in neo- classical models. More recently, New Keynesian … macroeconomists have shown that the strong positive correlation between inflation and the skewness of the price change distribution is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473040
As central bankers intensify their focus on inflation as the primary goal of monetary policy, it becomes increasingly … important to have accurate and reliable measures of changes in the aggregate price level. Measuring inflation is surprisingly … transitory noise and bias. Noise causes short-run changes in measured inflation to inaccurately reflect movements in long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473047
In recent years, central bankers throughout the world have advocated that monetary policy shift toward inflation … targeting. Recent actions in the U.S. serve to highlight the desire of the Federal Reserve to keep inflation both low and stable …, while downplaying the likely output and employment consequences. But control of inflation requires both that one be able to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473721
The Euler equations derived from a broad range of intertemporal asset pricing models, together with the first two unconditional moments of asset returns, imply a lower bound on the volatility of the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution. We develop and implement statistical tests of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474862