Showing 1 - 10 of 20
In this paper, we simulate the long-run effects of migrant flows on wages of high-skilled and low-skilled non-migrants in a set of countries using an aggregate model of national economies. New in this literature we calculate the wage effect of emigration as well as immigration. We focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462010
Exchange rates have been at the center of economic debates in emerging economies. Issues related to the feasibility of flexible exchange rates, the relationship between exchange rate volatility and growth, and the role of exchange rate overvaluation in recent crises, among other, have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471561
This paper deals with COVID and macroprudential regulations in emerging markets. I document the build-up of a sturdy macroprudential structure during 2009-2019, and the relaxation of regulations in 2020-2021, as part of the effort to deal with the sanitary emergency. I show that in every...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660118
In this paper I discuss the ways in which populist experiments have evolved historically. Populists are charismatic leaders that use a fiery rhetoric to pitch the interests of "the people" against those of banks, large firms, multinational companies, the IMF, and immigrants. Populists implement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480278
sequencing of reform. I also investigate the role played by current account and fiscal imbalances, contagion, international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464263
In this paper I use a large multi-country data set to analyze the determinants of abrupt and large "current account reversals." The results from a variance-component probit model indicate that the probability of experiencing a major current account reversal is positively affected by larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466540
the (not too distant) future. Second, I rely on international evidence to explore the likelihood of an abrupt decline in … capital flows into the U.S. And third, I analyze the international evidence on current account reversals, to investigate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467137
In this paper I use a broad multi-country data set to analyze the relationship between restrictions to capital mobility and external crises. The analysis focuses on two manifestations of external crises: (a) sudden stops of capital inflows; and (b) current account reversals. I deal with two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467515
In this paper I use a panel data set to investigate the mechanics of sudden stops of capital inflows and current account reversals. I am particularly interested in four questions: (a) What is the relationship between sudden stops and current account reversals? (b) To what extent does financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468416
In this paper I analyze the anatomy of current account adjustments in the world economy during the last three decades … international reserves, domestic credit creation, and debt services. (c) Current account reversals have had a negative effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468417