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In addition to its micro analysis, this paper also asks whether faster productivity growth reduces inflation, raises …A basic tenet of economic science is that productivity growth is the source of growth in real income per capita. But … our results raise doubts by creating a direct link between macro productivity growth and the micro evolution of the income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466829
, all without any evidence of extra inflation. The results in this paper turn the conventional wisdom on its head. While the … over into extra inflation, leaving only 20 percent remaining for extra real GDP growth. Virtually 100 percent of the … nominal exchange rate depreciation passed through into higher import prices, and extra inflation would have been even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471843
This paper introduces a new approach to the empirical testing of the Lucas- Sargent-Wallace (LSW) "policy ineffectiveness proposition." Instead of testing that hypothesis in isolation from any plausible alternative, the paper develops a single empirical equation explaining price change that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478371
The most important conclusion of this paper is that the growth rate of the money supply influences the U.S. inflation …, help to explain why U.S. inflation was so low in 1976 and why it accelerated so rapidly in 1978. Granger causality tests … indicate that lagged exchange rate changes influence inflation, but lagged inflation does not cause exchange rate changes. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478407
This paper presents a single reduced-form inflation equation that can explain both the variance and acceleration of … inflation during the 1970s.Inflation is explained by four sets of factors. Aggregate demand enters through the lagged output … ratio and the growth rate of nominal GNP. The adjustment of inflation to changes in aggregate demand is limited by the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478585
matters for stabilization policy is the rate of inflation, not the rate of wage change. This paper provides new estimates of … result in the paper is that wage changes do not contribute statistically to the explanation of inflation. Deviations in the … growth of labor cost from the path of inflation cause changes in labor's income share, and changes in the profit share in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476483
ideas. The coroner's evidence consists of the small standard deviation of the core inflation rate in the past two decades … despite substantial volatility of the unemployment rate, and in particular the common tendency of PC inflation equations to … predict ever greater amounts of negative inflation (i.e., deflation) over the years of labor-market slack since 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459271
This paper is about the size of fiscal multipliers and the sources of recovery from the Great Depression. Its baseline result is that 89.1 percent of the 1939:Q1-1941:Q4 recovery can be attributed to fiscal policy innovations, 34.1 percent to monetary policy innovations and the remaining -23.2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462276
-factor productivity (MFP) growth for the United States since 1870. The wave-like pattern starts with slow MFP growth in the late 19th …, there is no solution to the post-1972 productivity slowdown, and in the new data MFP growth during 1972-96 proceeds at a … boosting productivity growth, followed by a reopening that contributed to the post-1972 productivity slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470998
This paper studies the dynamic behavior of changes in productivity, wages, and prices. Results are based on a new data … made against demand expansion in Europe on the ground that such a demand expansion would cause only extra inflation with no … gap indexes to be attributed to a failure of real wages to respond to the post-1972 productivity growth slowdown is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477000