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Temporarily Unstable Government Debt and Inflation

Davig, Troy - 2011

policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461858

Fiscal Policy and Inflation : Pondering the Imponderables

Leeper, Eric M. - 2003

An asset-pricing perspective on inflation reveals that it depends on current and expected monetary and fiscal policies … rates of return of these assets, and determine the price level and the inflation rate. The paper considers a tax reduction … cut can imply very different outcomes for inflation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469197

Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon

Leeper, Eric M. - 2016

We develop the theory of price-level determination in a range of models using both ad hoc policy rules and jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policies and discuss empirical issues that arise when trying to identify monetary-fiscal regime. The article concludes with directions in which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456805

Inflation's Role in Optimal Monetary-Fiscal Policy

Leeper, Eric M. - 2013

current and future inflation innovations to revalue government debt, reducing reliance on distorting taxes; (2) the role of … inflation in optimal fiscal financing increases with the average maturity of government debt; (3) as average maturity rises, it … is optimal to tradeoff inflation for output stabilization; (4) inflation is relatively more important as a fiscal shock …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458976

Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows

Leeper, Eric M. - 2009

Fiscal foresight -- the phenomenon that legislative and implementation lags ensure that private agents receive clear signals about the tax rates they face in the future -- is intrinsic to the tax policy process. This paper develops an analytical framework to study the econometric implications of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463990

Forecasting Aggregate Period Specific Birth Rates : The Time Series Properties of a Microdynamic Neoclassical Model of Fertility

Heckman, James J. - 1989

This article demonstrates the value of microdata for understanding the effect of wages on life cycle fertility dynamics. Conventional estimates of neoclassical economic fertility models obtained from linear aggregate time series regressions are widely criticized for being nonrobust when adjusted...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475910

Foresight and Information Flows

Leeper, Eric M. - 2011

News--or foresight--about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non-fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react. Using tax policies as a leading example...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461706

New Methods for Estimating Labor Supply Functions : A Survey

Heckman, James J. - 1982

This paper surveys new methods for estimatifg labor supply functions. A unified framework of analysis is presented. All recent models of labor supply are special cases of a general index function model developed for the analysis o dummy endogenous variables

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478253

Testing the Correlated Random Coefficient Model

Heckman, James J. - 2009

The recent literature on instrumental variables (IV) features models in which agents sort into treatment status on the basis of gains from treatment as well as on baseline-pretreatment levels. Components of the gains known to the agents and acted on by them may not be known by the observing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463186

The Determinants of Participation in a Social Program : Evidence from a Prototypical Job Training Program

Heckman, James J. - 2003

This paper decomposes the participation process of a prototypical program into eligibility, awareness, application, acceptance and enrollment. With this decomposition, we determine the sources of unequal participation for different groups, and demonstrate that variables often have very different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468880