Showing 1 - 10 of 15
Money demand and the stock of money have all but disappeared from monetary policy analyses. This paper is an empirical contribution to the debate over the role of money in monetary policy analysis. The paper models supply and demand interactions in the money market and finds evidence of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469148
We present a framework for computing and evaluating linear projections of macro variables conditional on hypothetical paths of monetary policy. A modest policy intervention is a change in policy that does not significantly shift agents' beliefs about policy regime and does not generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469518
Single-equation estimates of fiscal reaction functions, which relate primary surpluses to past debt-GDP ratios and control variables, are subject to potentially serious simultaneity bias that can produce misleading inferences about fiscal behavior. Biases arise from failure to model the general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456018
The textbook optimal policy response to an increase in government debt is simple--monetary policy should actively target inflation, and fiscal policy should smooth taxes while ensuring debt sustainability. Such policy prescriptions presuppose an ability to commit. Without that ability, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479609
Many advanced economies are heading into an era of fiscal stress: populations are aging and governments have made substantially more promises of old-age benefits than they have made provisions to finance. This paper models the era of fiscal stress as stemming from relentlessly growing promised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461858
Farmer, Waggoner, and Zha (2009) show that a new Keynesian model with a regime-switching monetary policy rule can support multiple solutions that depend only on the fundamental shocks in the model. Their note appears to find solutions in regions of the parameter space where there should be no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463729
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466260
The paper generalizes the Taylor principle---the proposition that central banks can stabilize the macroeconomy by raising their interest rate instrument more than one-for-one in response to higher inflation---to an environment in which reaction coefficients in the monetary policy rule evolve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466797
The paper presents the fiscal theory of the price level in a variety of models, including endowment economies with lump …-sum taxes and production economies with proportional income taxes. We offer a microeconomic perspective on the fiscal theory by … level. Under certain assumptions on monetary and fiscal behavior, the revaluation effect reflects the fiscal theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467030
articulated by the fiscal theory of the price level. The paper quantifies that mechanism and finds it to be important in U.S. data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467473