Showing 1 - 9 of 9
In the late 1970s countries in Latin America's Southern Cone attempted to lower domestic inflation rates through the … appreciation may result.While unanticipated, permanent inflation changes are neutral in the paper,anticipated inflation is neutral …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477632
This paper examines the short-run relation between anticipated inflation and the real rate of interest in a model where … floating -- apply equally to a closed economy. The paper shows that an increase in the expected inflation rate depresses the … is determinate in the floating-rate case, the real interest rate is invariant with respect to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478392
This paper shows that the optimal extraction of seigniorage implies a strong tendency for inflation to fall over time … inflation rate each period in a discretionary manner. One way to view the model is as a synthesis of the "tax-smoothing" theory … of government deficits, which predicts that the inflation tax follows approximately a martingale, and of models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476187
-rate depreciation and nominal wage inflation, embodying it in an expectations-augmented Phillips curve. The economy studied produces … the "vicious circle" hypothesis, showing how an explosive cycle of exchange-rate depreciation and wage-price inflation may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478433
The paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages. Explicit solution of the wage-setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare, expected output, and the expected terms of trade....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471471
This paper is a highly selective review of our knowledge about the scope for sterilized intervention in foreign exchange markets under alternative exchange-rate regimes. Section I demonstrates the potential importance of simultaneous-equations bias in single-equation econometric studies of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478278
This note tests the hypothesis that nominal interest differentials between similar assets denominated in different currencies can be explained entirely by the expected change in the exchange rate over the holding period. This proposition, often called the "Fisher open" hypothesis or the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478598
Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476221
This paper surveys the decline in real interest rates in advanced and emerging economies over the past several decades, linking that process to a range of global factors that have operated with different force in different periods. The paper argues that estimates of long-run equilibrium real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447270