Showing 1 - 10 of 377
Social interactions make communicable disease a core concern of public health policy. A prevalent problem is scarcity of empirical evidence that are informative about how interventions affect population behavior and illness. Randomized trials, which have been important to evaluation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458235
explaining heterogeneity in firm exposures to systematic risk. These differences in systematic risk are partially explained by …-career experiences of starting their first job in a recession also contribute to differential loadings on systematic risk. These effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481342
Recent work by Said and Dickey (1984 ,1985) , Phillips (1987), and Phillips and Perron(1988) examines tests for unit roots in the autoregressive part of mixed autoregressive-integrated-moving average (ARIHA) models (tests for stationarity). Monte Carlo experiments show that these unit root tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476279
We develop a novel firm-level measure of cybersecurity risk using textual analysis of cybersecurity-risk disclosures in … corporate filings. The measure successfully identifies firms extensively discussing cybersecurity risk in their 10-K, displays … intuitive relations with quantitative measures of cybersecurity risk disclosure language, exhibits a positive trend over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482415
for corporate leverage. The risk anomaly generates a simple tradeoff theory: At zero leverage, the overall cost of capital …. Empirically, the risk anomaly tradeoff theory and the traditional tradeoff theory are both consistent with the finding that firms … with low-risk assets choose higher leverage. More uniquely, the risk anomaly theory helps to explain why leverage is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456558
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price …-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are … procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458555
uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our … estimates display significant independent variations from popular uncertainty proxies, suggesting that much of the variation in … the proxies is not driven by uncertainty. Quantitatively important uncertainty episodes appear far more infrequently than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459206
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459286
, arises because these models load all uncertainty onto the supply side of the economy. We propose a simple theory of asset … pricing in which demand shocks play a central role. These shocks give rise to valuation risk that allows the model to account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460043
We analyze how changes in government policy affect stock prices. Our general equilibrium model features uncertainty … average. The price fall is expected to be large if uncertainty about government policy is large, as well as if the policy … change is preceded by a short or shallow downturn. Policy changes increase volatility, risk premia, and correlations among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462528