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vulnerability, drawing lessons from a detailed comparison of the response of Chile and Australia to recent external shocks and from … useful to identify and then distinguish between two inter-related dimensions of investors' confidence: country-trust and … to improve along these two dimensions of investors' confidence in the medium run, and policies to reduce the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468174
confidence shock. Lack-of-confidence shocks play a central role in generating jobless recoveries, for fundamental shocks, such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460116
Using data on exogenous liquidity losses generated by the fraud and failure of a cash-in-transit firm, we demonstrate a causal impact on firms' trade credit usage. We find that firms manage liquidity shortfalls by increasing the amount of drawn credit from suppliers and decreasing the amount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456389
, as well as in South Korea and China--two countries on different sides of the trilemma triangle of international finance …. We document that global financial shocks in both China and South Korea explain a substantial share of equity return … than 10 percent in Korea and negligible in the case of China). We also find that the combination of a closer capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481287
We analyze the role of household heterogeneity for the response of the macroeconomy to aggregate shocks. After summarizing how macroeconomists have incorporated household heterogeneity and market incompleteness in the study of economic fluctuations so far, we outline an emerging framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452986
This chapter develops a unified framework for the study of how network interactions can function as a mechanism for propagation and amplification of microeconomic shocks. The framework nests various classes of games over networks, models of macroeconomic risk originating from microeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457735
We explore the business cycle implications of expectation shocks and of two well-known psychological biases, optimism and overconfidence. The expectations of optimistic agents are biased toward good outcomes, while overconfident agents overestimate the precision of the signals that they receive....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466092
). Ambiguity aversion is described by recursive multiple priors preferences that capture agents' lack of confidence in probability … using first-order approximations. In our estimated medium-scale DSGE model, a loss of confidence about productivity works … like 'unrealized' bad news. Time-varying confidence emerges as a major source of business cycle fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460758
There seems to be a widespread belief among economists, policy-makers, and members of the media that the "confidence … augmented to include empirical measures of consumer or business confidence. We also estimate non-linear VAR specifications to … allow for differential impacts of government spending in "normal'' times versus recessions. In normal times confidence does …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461594
We use matched employer-employee data from Sweden to study the role of the firm in affecting the stochastic properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479736