Showing 1 - 10 of 211
This paper quantifies the amount of noise and bias in analysts' forecast of corporate earnings at various horizons. We … next decompose the relative accuracy of these forecasts into three components: (i) noise, (ii) bias and (iii) analysts … both noise and bias are increase linearly. We then show most existing models lack a mechanism to account for these facts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585447
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470517
additional tests, some of which utilize data on adverse health events, suggests that the forecast biases are at least partly due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635627
We offer a new social approach to investment decision making and asset prices. Investors discuss their strategies and convert others to their strategies with a probability that increases in investment returns. The conversion rate is shown to be convex in realized returns. Unconditionally, active...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453433
We examine how emerging market (EM) investors allocate their stock portfolios internationally. Using both country-level and institution-level data, we find that the coming wave of EM investors systematically over- and under-weight their holdings in some target countries. These abnormal foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457008
no evidence that plan participants undo this affiliation bias through their investment choices. Finally, the subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459897
By investigating the entire IPO pricing process, beginning when the offering is filed, the paper contributes to the existing literature along four dimensions. First, price updates during the registration period are predictable based on firm and offer-specific characteristics known at the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470130
') bias in the estimates and, after due account is taken of this bias, we find that differences due to estimation method are … measure how these estimates vary by country, over time, and by estimation method. We find evidence reporting (or file drawer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471319
that self-selection of job changers may cause longitudinal estimation of wage gaps to be inconsistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477140
In this paper, I present a simple characterization of the sample selection bias problem that is also applicable to the … problem of sample selection bias is fit within the conventional specification error framework of Griliches and Theil. A simple … estimator is discussed that enables analysts to utilize ordinary regression methods to estimate models free of selection bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478957