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Large savings and current account surpluses by China and other countries are said to be a contributor to the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462653
accounts through the lens of a dynamic, multi-region model of the global economy. In the baseline scenario, world macroeconomic … sustainable level. An alternative scenario, involving a sudden portfolio reshuffling in the rest of the world, would result in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467094
of both advanced and emerging countries during two periods of globalization -- the pre-World War I classical gold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469694
Regulation consists of rulemaking and enforcement. Economic theory offers two complementary rationales for regulating financial institutions. Altruistic public-benefits theories treat rules as governmental instruments for increas- ing fairness and efficiency across society as a whole....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472798
This paper considers the meaning of domestic and international systemic risk. It examines scenarios that have been adduced as creating systemic risk both within countries and among them. It distinguishes between the concepts of real and pseudo-systemic risk. We examine the history of episodes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473496
allows banks in different regions to smooth local liquidity shocks by borrowing and lending on a world interbank market. We … second-best world, financial integration can increase the welfare benefits of liquidity requirements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455322
The importance of information asymmetries in the capital markets is commonly accepted as one of the main reasons for home bias in investment. We posit that effects of such asymmetries may be reduced through relationships between banks established through bank-to-bank lending and provide evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461302
This article evaluates a large collection of systemic risk measures based on their ability to predict macroeconomic downturns. We evaluate 19 measures of systemic risk in the US and Europe spanning several decades. We propose dimension reduction estimators for constructing systemic risk indexes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457703
This paper presents a modeling framework that delivers joint forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk, as well as stress-tests of these indicators as impulse responses to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. This framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461660
We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 ½ years. Five to six years after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458841