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We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … a rich search-theoretic model of the labor market in which the UE, EU and EE rates are all endogenous. Analytically, we … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
modest increase in unemployment. Despite these forces, we conclude that the problems facing the U.S. labor market are …From the perspective of a wide range of labor market outcomes, the recession that began in 2007 represents the deepest … downturn in the postwar era. Early on, the nature of labor market adjustment displayed a notable resemblance to that observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462625
The aggregate neoclassical growth model - with a labor income tax or "labor market distortion" that began growing at … the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real …, but merely because labor is falling and labor is complementary with capital in the production function. Through the lens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462971
vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical …-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … ratio is 20 times as volatile as average labor productivity, while under weak assumptions, search models predict that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
the unskilled. By contrast, in Europe it is undoubtedly the rise and persistence of unemployment. Technology has been … identified as a key reason for the rising US wage inequality, while labor market rigidities are often cited as a key reason for … European unemployment. This paper seeks to provide a unified account of these major factor market developments. It models the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473209
-when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises. Employers recover their … claims on business income also rise. According to the leading view of unemployment-the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model … when the discount rate rises. Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment. This paper does not explain why the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458792
The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … major economic downturn and to restore full employment quickly afterward. In the crisis the American labor market failed to … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459074
This paper uses a sample of 116 recession episodes in developed and emerging market economies to compare the labor …-market recovery during financial crises with that of other recession episodes. It documents two new stylized facts. First, labor …-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460181
labor market. Technology shocks alone replicate remarkably well the volatility in vacancies, unemployment and finding … and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461229
Populism may seem like it has come out of nowhere, but it has been on the rise for a while. I argue that economic history and economic theory both provide ample grounds for anticipating that advanced stages of economic globalization would produce a political backlash. While the backlash may have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455123