Showing 1 - 10 of 247
Despite their strong positive average returns across numerous asset classes, momentum strategies can experience infrequent and persistent strings of negative returns. These momentum crashes are partly forecastable. They occur in "panic" states - following market declines and when market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458228
Much recent work has documented evidence for predictability of asset returns. We show how such predictability can affect the portfolio choices of long-lived investors who value wealth not for its own sake but for the consumption their wealth can support. We develop an approximate solution method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470152
Prior experimental and empirical research documents that many investors have a lower propensity to sell those stocks on which they have a capital loss. This behavioral phenomenon, known as 'the disposition effect,' has implications for equilibrium prices. We investigate the temporal pattern of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469981
We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474666
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470517
aligns with extant measures of disagreement (e.g., analyst forecast dispersion), but is a significantly stronger predictor of … disagreement and future returns. A decile spread portfolio that is short stocks with high forecast disagreement and long stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337816
Optimal investment of firms implies that expected stock returns are tied with the expected marginal benefit of investment divided by the marginal cost of investment. Winners have higher expected growth and expected marginal productivity (two major components of the marginal benefit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461911
A habit persistence, general equilibrium model with multiple assets matches both the time series properties of the market portfolio and the cross-sectional predictability of returns on price sorted portfolios, the value premium. Consistent with empirical evidence, the model shows that (a) value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466855
This paper tests models of mutual fund market timing that (1) allow the manager's utility function to depend on returns in excess of a benchmark; (2) distinguish timing based on lagged, publicly available information variables from timing based on finer information; and (3) simultaneously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472375
The benefits of international diversification have been recognized for decades. In spite of this, most investors hold nearly all of their wealth in domestic assets. In this paper, we construct new estimates of the international equity portfolio holdings of investors in the U.S., Japan, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475411