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-run concept like the natural rate of unemployment. We examine what effect uncertainty has on the use of NAIRU in policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470871
Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471456
examine U.S. time series and find that, as the model predicts, unemployment fluctuations are associated with both inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470102
Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … reproduces the observed fluctuations in unemployment because hiring a worker is a risky investment with long-duration surplus … benefit from creating new matches greatly drops, leading to a large decline in job vacancies and an increase in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480524
We study how trade linkages affect the conduct of monetary policy in a two-country model with heterogeneous firms, endogenous producer entry, and labor market frictions. We show that the ability of the model to replicate key empirical regularities following trade integration---synchronization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481329
This paper presents a theory of the monetary transmission mechanism in a monetary version of Farmer's (2009) model in … which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462135
model labor market frictions and unemployment explicitly. The present paper describes some of the essential ingredients and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462779
establishments; b) the amplitude and propagation of cyclical fluctuations in flows between employment and unemployment; c) the … negative comovement of unemployment and vacancies in the form of the Beveridge curve; and d) the dynamics of the distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464870
unemployment. The novel feature is that the scope for sunspot-driven volatility depends on the level of household wealth. When … wealth is high, consumer demand is largely insensitive to unemployment expectations and the economy is robust to confidence … crises. When wealth is low, a stronger precautionary motive makes demand more sensitive to unemployment expectations, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457673
The flow opportunity cost of moving from unemployment to employment consists of foregone public benefits and the … is procyclical and volatile over the business cycle. The estimated cyclicality implies far less unemployment volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458984