Showing 1 - 10 of 12
In recent years, considerable attention has been devoted to the development of statistical methods for the analysis of uncertainty in cost-effectiveness analysis, with a focus on situations in which the analyst has patient-level data on the costs and health effects of alternative interventions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472372
-Expected Utility theories, we strongly reject Prospect Theory probability weighting, we support disappointment aversion if amended to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461316
Individuals' preferences underlying most economic behavior are likely to display substantial heterogeneity. This paper reports on direct measures of preference parameters relating to risk tolerance, time preference, and intertemporal substitution. These experimental measures are based on survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473664
tenets of EUT. In this paper, we explore the influence of probability on risky choice. by proposing and estimating a … parametric model of risky decision making. Our results suggest that models which provide for probability transformations are most …-range probability than is proposed by the expected utility model and risk-seeking behavior over "long-shot" odds is common …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474843
This paper introduces the concept of standard risk aversion. A von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function has standard risk aversion if any risk makes a small reduction in wealth more painful (in the sense of an increased reduction in expected utility) also makes any undesirable, independent risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475376
utility model, a subjective expected utility model and a probability-transform model. We find that the four models considered … largest number of subjects is consistent with a probability-transform model. Such models have only been developed recently and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476344
unpredictable phenomena can be captured accurately by probability distributions, organizational scholars commonly treat the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480579
This paper discusses how limited ability to assess patient risk of illness and predict treatment response may affect the welfare achieved by adherence to clinical practice guidelines and by decentralized clinical practice. I explain why predictive ability has been limited, calling attention to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453799
This paper extends our earlier analysis of interdependent security issues to a general class of problems involving discrete interdependent risks with heterogeneous agents. There is a threat of an event that can only happen once, and the risk depends on actions taken by others. Any agent's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468812
disasters. When the probability of a disaster is high enough, the coordination game becomes like a prisoner's dilemma situation … derive an upper bound on the disaster probability, we derive asset pricing implications including the disaster premium, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457853