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that could protect surplus ("security"). But the joint achievement of security and prosperity had to escape a paradox … conflict when defense capability is fixed, but may allow for security and prosperity when defense capability is endogenous …. Some economic shocks and military innovations deliver security and prosperity while others force societies back into a trap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456842
We develop a theoretical model of security investments in a network of interconnected agents. Network connections … introduce the possibility of cascading failures due to an exogenous or endogenous attack depending on the profile of security … networks, is that because security investments create positive externalities on other agents, there will be underinvestment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459488
From 2000 to 2010, more than 20 states passed laws that make it easier to use lethal force in self-defense. Elements of these laws include removing the duty to retreat in places outside of one's home, adding a presumption of reasonable belief of imminent harm, and removing civil liability for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460525
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471967
We examine the empirical evidence on the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany using the Campbell-Shiller (1991) regressions and a vector-autoregressive" methodology. We argue that anomalies in the U.S. term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472666
This paper shows a convenient way to test whether instrumental variables are correlated with individual effects in a panel data set. It shows that the correlated fixed effects specification tests developed by Hausman and Taylor (1981) extend in an analogous way to panel data sets with endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473246
One-step efficient GMM estimation has been developed in the recent papers of Back and Brown (1990), Imbens (1993) and Qin and Lawless (1994). These papers emphasized methods that correspond to using Owen's (1988) method of empirical likelihood to reweight the data so that the reweighted sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473589
Instrumental Variables (IV) estimates tend to be biased in the same direction as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) in finite samples if the instruments are weak. To address this problem we propose a new IV estimator which we call Split Sample Instrumental Variables (SSIV). SSIV works as follows: we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473745
In evaluation research, an average causal effect is usually defined as the expected difference between the outcomes of the treated, and what these outcomes would have been in the absence of treatment. This definition of causal effects makes sense for binary treatments only. In this paper, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473746
It is widely known that conditional covariances of asset returns change over time. Researchers adopt many strategies to accommodate conditional heteroskedasticity. Among the most popular are: (a) chopping the data into short blocks of time and assuming homoskedasticity within the blocks, (b)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474103