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Probabilistic Prediction for Binary Treatment Choice : with Focus on Personalized Medicine
Manski, Charles F. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum … in indirect ways, the former applying classical statistical theory and the latter measuring prediction accuracy in test … samples. Neither approach is satisfactory. Statistical decision theory provides a coherent, generally applicable methodology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660036
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Herding with Heterogeneous Ability : An Application to Organ Transplantation
Mel, Stephanie de; Munshi, Kaivan; Reiche, Soenje; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
There are many economic environments in which an object is offered sequentially to prospective buyers. It is often observed that once the object for sale is turned down by one or more agents, those that follow do the same. One explanation that has been proposed for this phenomenon is that agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660090
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Who Protests, What Do They Protest, and Why?
Chenoweth, Erica; Hamilton, Barton Hughes; Lee, Hedwig; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We examine individuals' decisions to attend protests during the summer of 2020. Our analysis examines two simultaneous movements: Black Lives Matter along with protests calling for less stringent public health measures to combat the COVID-19 (e.g., for swifter reopening of businesses). Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191081
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"When Anything Can Happen" : Anticipated Adversity and Postsecondary Decision-Making
DeLuca, Stefanie; Papageorge, Nicholas W.; Boselovic, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
We examine how disadvantaged students make postsecondary education decisions, focusing on why they often opt for short, flexible programs that tend to have low returns in the labor market. Prior literature emphasizes information deficits and financial constraints. We draw upon qualitative data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696381
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What is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence
Armona, Luis; Gentzkow, Matthew Aaron; Kamenica, Emir; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study newsworthiness in theory and practice. We focus on situations in which a news outlet observes the realization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544790
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Partial Outsourcing of Public Programs : Evidence on Determinants of Choice in Medicare
Cabral, Marika; Carey, Colleen; Son, Jinyeong - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Many public programs let individuals choose between publicly provided benefits and a subsidized private alternative. We investigate the determinants of health insurance choice in Medicare--a setting with vast geographic variation in the share of individuals selecting the public option versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250159
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Logrolling in Congress
Battaglini, Marco; Sciabolazza, Valerio Leone; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We study vote trading among U.S. Congress members. By tracking roll-call votes within bills across five legislatures and politicians' personal connections made during the school years, we document a propensity of connected legislators to vote together that depends on how salient the bill is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250186
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How Do Surrogates Make Treatment Decisions for Patients with Dementia? An Experimental Survey Study
Nicholas, Lauren Hersch; Langa, Kenneth M.; Halpern, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Despite the growing need for surrogate decision-making for older adults, little is known about how surrogates make decisions and whether advance directives would change decision-making. We conducted a nationally representative experimental survey that cross-randomized cognitive impairment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486208
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Money, history, and international finance : essays in honor of Anna J. Schwartz
Bordo, Michael D. (ed.); Schwartz, Anna Jacobson (honouree) - 1989 - 1. [print.]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000782106
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Business cycles : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting
Zarnowitz, Victor - 1992
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000134802