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The very low real interest rates on bonds in the 1970's were accompanied by a large drop in the value of common stocks relative to dividends and earnings. More generally, a number of authors have demonstrated that the real prices of debt and equity claims do not covary closely, and often move in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477022
stylized facts: (1) the positive stock-bond return correlation from 1971 to 2000 and the negative one after 2000, (2) the … coexistence of positive bond risk premiums and the negative stock-bond return correlation. We show that two distinctive shocks …---the technology and investment shocks---drive positive and negative stock-bond return correlations under two policy regimes, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481165
We propose an approach to identifying economic shocks (monetary, growth, and risk-premium news) from stock returns and Treasury yield changes, which allows us to study the drivers of asset prices at a daily frequency since the early 1980s. We apply the identification to examine investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482403
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovements and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … stock and bond return correlations, but that other factors, especially liquidity proxies, play a more important role. The … macro factors are still important in fitting bond return volatility; whereas the "variance premium" is critical in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463390
exist multiple pricing kernels that produce the same bond prices, but a unique pricing kernel equal to the marginal utility …, and estimate the model with both inflation and term structure data. The estimates imply that the bond portfolio for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468608
Household investors chase stock market returns. Surveys suggest that households intend to "ride the bubble" by buying stocks early in a boom and selling stocks early in a bust. This implies that households use only liquid assets to chase returns. I test this prediction using inflows to fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458307
share of the equity home bias and obtain a currency exposure of bond portfolios comparable to the data … foreign real bonds. Bonds matter: in equilibrium, investors structure their bond portfolio to hedge real exchange rate risk … since relative bond returns are strongly correlated with real exchange rate movements. Equity home bias does not arise from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461098
This paper presents new evidence on the rate of return on tangible assets in the United" States, incorporating the recently-revised national accounts as well as new estimates of the" replacement cost of the reproducible physical capital stock. The pretax return on capital in the" nonfinancial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471737
We pursue a cross-country comparison of relative financial readiness of older households in Japan and the Republic of Korea relative to the US. Our comparative analysis, using macro-level and harmonized longitudinal household financial data, covers the principal financial channels of old age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814424
We test if an increase in common ownership changes future expected profits with an event study method. We collect instances of a stock entering the S&P 500 index and identify its product market competitors. We measure the change in institutional and common ownership (with product market rivals)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481370