Showing 1 - 10 of 535
seasonal forecasts of monsoon weather. We find that in areas where the forecast is accurate (has "skill") that investment …, migration and rural wages respond to forecasts. We calculate that if such skill were pervasive across India, the total value of … an accurate forecast for farmers and wage workers is in the tens of billions of rupees …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479843
India's case fatality rate (CFR) under covid-19 is strikingly low, trending from 3% or more, to a current level of … least partly due to India's younger age distribution. In this paper, we use age-specific fatality rates from 14 comparison … countries, coupled with India's distribution of covid-19 cases to "predict" what India's CFR would be with those age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481244
the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458855
This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the … five main NCDs will total USD 27.8 trillion for China and USD 6.2 trillion for India (in 2010 USD). For both countries, the … that the costs are much larger in China than in India mainly because of China's higher income and older population. Rough …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459326
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000134802
In recent years, the renewed strength of immigration to the United States has sparked a debate about the economic effects of immigration. A central issue in this debate has been the fiscal impact of immigrants. Most research in this area has adopted a static, cross-section approach in assessing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471759
This paper investigates forecasts of U.S. inflation at the 12-month horizon. The starting point is the conventional unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out of sample forecasting framework. Inflation forecasts produced by the Phillips curve generally have been more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471777
, and forecast the remaining operating life for every operating coal-fired generator. We summarize the technology and … our forecast horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585433
This paper quantifies the amount of noise and bias in analysts' forecast of corporate earnings at various horizons. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585447
We use discounted cash flow analysis to measure a country's fiscal capacity. Crucially, the discount rate applied to projected cash flows includes a GDP risk premium. We apply our valuation method to the CBO's projections for the U.S. federal government's deficit between 2022 and 2051 and debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190996