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I develop a model with the path of labor-market outcomes exhibiting hysteresis depending on prior labor-market policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474146
This paper casts doubt on the validity of the hysteresis hypothesis as an explanation of the persistent U.S. trade … their decisions to enter or exit the market. We find little support for either aspect of the hysteresis hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474187
This paper empirically investigates the hypothesis that hysteresis has occurred in US aggregate non-oil import prices … the nature of the shift is consistent with the hysteresis hypothesis. Results on two specific structural models of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476584
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459062
The paper develops a general methodology for analyzing policies with path-dependency (hysteresis) in stochastic models … dynamics of hysteresis with respect to time, a form of a time derivative, and the expected dynamics of hysteresis with the …, we propose a general class of hysteresis functionals that permits significant tractability. Second, we characterize in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510590
for 29 countries from the OECD. We find strong evidence of hysteresis: an innovation in u causes u* to change in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660021
hysteresis embodying the idea that the equilibrium unemployment rate depends on the history of the actual unemployment rate. This … paper summarizes two directions of research on hysteresis that appear especially promising. Membership theories are based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477034
European unemployment is widely regarded as a problem of excessive real wages. This view as it is usually expressed carries the disturbing implication that there is a sharp conflict between the interests of those currently employed and the unemployed because it suggests that increases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477035
returns to its previous level. When we develop a simple model of the feedback from "hysteresis" in trade to the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477053
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477122